Clean experiments to test selection probability - No game clustering
Experiment 1
1
Players:
Imposters:
Theoretical Probability
17.65%
(3/17)
0 / 1000
Total Selections:-
Jen Selected:-
Actual %:-
-
📐 Compound Probability Contribution
P(selected):-
P(not selected):-
Configure and run to see results
Experiment 2
2
Players:
Imposters:
Theoretical Probability
17.65%
(3/17)
0 / 1000
Total Selections:-
Jen Selected:-
Actual %:-
-
📐 Compound Probability Contribution
P(selected):-
P(not selected):-
Configure and run to see results
Experiment 3
3
Players:
Imposters:
Theoretical Probability
11.11%
(2/18)
0 / 1000
Total Selections:-
Jen Selected:-
Actual %:-
-
📐 Compound Probability Contribution
P(selected):-
P(not selected):-
Configure and run to see results
🎯 Jen's Pattern Probability
Based on experimental results: Selected in Exp 1, NOT in Exp 2, Selected in Exp 3
P(Jen's pattern) = P(selected in 1) × P(not selected in 2) × P(selected in 3)
= Loading...
= Loading...
Experimental Result
-
-
Theoretical Prediction
1.61%
(1 in 62)
📊 Side-by-Side Comparison
🎭 Ultimate Validation: Full Jen Story Simulation
Simulate complete 3-round games and count how many match Jen's exact pattern
Each simulation runs 3 complete rounds using your experiment configurations,
then checks if the pattern matches: Selected in Round 1, NOT in Round 2, Selected in Round 3